The great farce of politics needs great fakes. Of good actors, such as Donald Trump either Pedro Sánchezto which we see in constant representation, but to which no one imagines analyzing a budget, studying a complex matter or drawing a consistent strategy. With their light but effective intelligence, the most that these egotist characters can arrive is to learn their role in the permanent performance they star.
The monologuist Trump has premiered with several works that had already been announcing: the commercial war and the real war in Ukrainein which he is developing all his scenic abilities.
With the excuse of correcting the commercial deficit of your country, it is promoting a tariff policy that, in reality, is more an instrument of intimidation than an effective measure of enhancing economic growth or the importing sectors it affects.
The secret of the development of the US economy has been the permanent growth of consumption, and, as already seen in 2017, the establishment of tariffs or is inflationary or ends up with it. Because, contrary to what Trump insists on saying, tariffs end up paying them consumers of the countries that implant them, not export countries. That pile of money that says that it is arriving is like an undercover tax to US consumers who perhaps avoid a formal increase thereof. And what really needs USA It is not to reduce the commercial deficit but the fiscal deficit, which is greater than 6% and that has brought the public debt to almost 125% of GDP. To control or reduce that deficit there are no other recipes than the reduction of public spending, tax increase or a mixture of the two. And so, it is, as you have to read the threats and bravuces of Trump, which makes her compatriots believe that she is being hard with the Europeans, the Canadians, the Mexicans or the Chinese when they are actually being with them.
In Europe We would not have to pay attention to and not to be aware; or focus on helping to find other markets to some sector that ends up being very affected. But we will be wrong if we start with reciprocities extended to many products, since it will contribute to an increase in inflation or a containment in consumption. Because, for example, the one who likes to walk in Harley, drink bourbon or eat peanut butter nobody is going to exempt you from paying the surcharge if you choose to continue consuming those products. Or that or take advantage of the arbitration possibilities that open and recover the old habit of returning from New York with a suitcase full of Levi’s and Sebagos.
What without being a tariff does cost us a lot of money to the Europeans and it will fill Trump’s pockets with dollars is the increase in defense expenditure and the subsequent arms race. And this is another issue in which everything that shines is not gold.
Without knowing it and for the opposite reasons to which the communist partners of the Government use, it is a serious mistake to think that simply by increasing defense expense we will be safer. Having more money on armament can give us a dangerous security appearance that, in reality, does not automatically reduce our vulnerability, especially to possible enemies that have demonstrated their aggressiveness. The truth is that together in the European Union We already spend much more than Russiaand, in spite of this, to triple its population and to outperform their economic and technological development, it is not possible to regret the expansionism of Putin.
What Europe needs to articulate an effective and deterrence system is to show true willingness to defend. It is useless to build to the eyebrows if we are not willing to use those weapons and do not accept that we may have to use our armies in wars where it is killed and dies. Of course, money is needed to buy airplanes, cars and frigates, to complete the arsenal of missiles and drones, to maintain an operational army, or to rent to the US the nuclear deterrence capacity that we lack; But, above all, you have to have and show the iron will to defend against any attack with determination and without leaving a hand on the back.
Unfortunately our government Progrecommunist It is not to face any of those two challenges. On the one hand, will disguise the structural security expenditure of military spending on military spendingdigital transformation and waste into the framework of climate change of the 2030 Agenda; And on the other, will insist on the peaceful approach and humanitarianand in the good interpretation of what are true aggressions to our sovereignty, our integrity and even our dignity.
And it is that as necessary as having a good army is to have someone capable to know and want to use it. Or, as the Singing of mine Cid«What a good vassal would it be if I had a good lord!
